Atlas Capital Advisors’ Bert Haboucha weighs in.

Co-Working space imageThe commercial real estate world is abuzz with WeWork’s recent attempts to renegotiate nearly all its leases as it struggles to achieve profitability. With substantial liabilities tied to its vast array of office leases, WeWork’s survival hinges on whether landlords are willing to negotiate new terms. This bold strategy has made waves across the industry, with experts like Bert Haboucha, principal at California-based Atlas Capital Advisors, offering insights into the potential outcomes of these negotiations.

Why Landlords Might Be Willing to Renegotiate

As WeWork faces high lease obligations—totaling over two-thirds of its operating expenses—industry professionals argue that renegotiating is in the best interest of many landlords. For those with flexible space needs, WeWork has historically been a valuable partner, providing well-located workspaces in prominent urban centers. In this sense, landlords might view lease restructuring as a way to keep cash flow steady, even if it means accepting lower rent in the short term.

For many landlords, the alternative could be worse: dealing with a vacant property in an already challenging market. Given the rise of hybrid work models and fluctuating demand, securing new tenants quickly can be difficult. According to Bert Haboucha, WeWork’s landlords need to understand the gravity of the situation. “WeWork has got to renegotiate most of these leases, not just five or ten,” he says. “They’re burning through cash… at some point, when do you just shoot this horse?” His frank assessment highlights the tough position landlords face. The decision to renegotiate might be influenced as much by WeWork’s financial standing as by the landlord’s own economic priorities.

 

The Impact of Potential Bankruptcy
Impact of BankruptcyOne pressing concern for landlords is the looming risk of bankruptcy for WeWork. If the company files, landlords could become unsecured creditors with limited recourse to recover lost rent. This would leave many property owners in a precarious position, possibly facing vacancies and income gaps. Bankruptcy could allow WeWork to walk away from or renegotiate leases on its own terms, leaving landlords scrambling to fill office space.

However, landlords that have protections such as letters of credit might feel less urgency to renegotiate. For example, John Giampolo, a bankruptcy attorney at Rosenberg & Estis, explains that landlords with strong financial backing may have some cushion if WeWork defaults. For those without these safeguards, renegotiating might be the best way to keep income flowing, even if it means reduced payments in the interim.

Strategic Choices for Landlords

Bert Haboucha emphasizes that WeWork needs widespread cooperation from landlords to remain viable. The company’s aggressive lease renegotiation strategy aims to achieve terms that align better with its current revenue and occupancy levels. Some landlords, particularly those in major cities or in high-demand areas, may be able to push for more favorable terms or find alternative tenants. But for many, a renegotiation with WeWork might be more viable than dealing with prolonged vacancy, especially as interest rates rise and property sales slow.

Moreover, commercial real estate experts like Brandon Medeiros, CEO of Rekalibrate, note that WeWork’s extensive footprint gives it a unique place in the market. Competing flexible office providers may lack WeWork’s scale and appeal to large corporate clients. This may encourage landlords to work with WeWork rather than attempt a risky transition to other providers.

A Turning Point for the Flexible Office Market

WeWork’s situation illustrates the challenges faced by the flexible office industry amid changing work habits. The company’s rapid growth and subsequent struggles serve as a cautionary tale for landlords and office providers. Bert Haboucha’s perspective underscores that without meaningful changes to its lease terms, WeWork’s future remains uncertain.

Ultimately, the outcome of these renegotiations could set a precedent for the entire flexible workspace sector. As WeWork works to stay afloat, landlords must weigh the pros and cons of renegotiating leases versus holding firm and potentially facing vacancies. The resolution of this situation could reshape commercial real estate strategies for years to come, especially as the demand for office space continues to evolve.

Read the full article from CoStar
WeWork’s Journey Through Bankruptcy: What We Know So Far

By Andria Cheng and Ryan Ori
CoStar News
October 22, 2023 | 4:31 P.M.